US banks rise on results, but warn on inflation and wars

NEW YORK, United States — Shares of US banks jumped Friday following strong results, but executives cautioned that beneficial industry conditions were moderating and said wars in Ukraine and the Middle East adding uncertainty.

The robust earnings at JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Wells Fargo reflect a continued boost from higher interest rates, as well as the lift from a persistently healthy US employment market that has limited loan delinquencies.

Executives said household balance sheets had eroded somewhat in recent months, but were still above the pre-pandemic level.

"US consumers and businesses generally remain healthy, although, consumers are spending down their excess cash buffers," said JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Jamie Dimon.

Dimon reiterated that the economy faces significant headwinds.

"Persistently tight labor markets as well as extremely high government debt levels with the largest peacetime fiscal deficits ever are increasing the risks that inflation remains elevated and that interest rates rise further from here," said Dimon in the earnings press release.

"The war in Ukraine compounded by last week's attacks on Israel may have far-reaching impacts on energy and food markets, global trade, and geopolitical relationships. This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades."

Later, on a call with Wall Street analysts, Dimon said investors should not misread the relatively health of financial markets.

"My caution is that we are facing so many uncertainties out there," he said. 

JPMorgan, the biggest US bank in terms of assets, reported third-quarter profits of $13.2 billion, up 35 percent from the year-ago period.

Revenues rose 22 percent to $39.9 billion.

The biggest factor in the profit jump was the much increased earnings in net interest income (NII), which measures the gap between what the bank makes in interest in loans to clients compared with interest payments to customers.

JPMorgan again increased its full-year NII forecast, which essentially shows that the bank has been able to benefit from consumers who have kept money in accounts receiving lower interest than are available elsewhere in the market.

Bank executives have said in